Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Wasen-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.87) 1.21 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.0% 19.7% 19.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 3.2% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack85%92%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGV Freiberg SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%67%75%33%50%42%
Draws0%33%17%33%50%42%
Loses17%0%8%33%0%17%

Form: SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLD • SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: WWLWDDDDDLWW

League goals

Metric SGV Freiberg SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
HATHAT
GF total171734181735
GF avg2.82.82.83.02.82.9
GA total471114923
GA avg0.71.20.92.31.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.567%25%92%67%
2.567%0%50%25%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.517%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
HATHAT
Clean sheets404000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Wins92
Draws15
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-56-11-4
Biggest losses1-2—2-3—
Goals For5564
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricSGV FreibergSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SGV Freiberg or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No3.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SGV Freiberg = 2.25 (league 1.87), SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach = 1.21 (league 1.62)

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 3.2% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1