Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 •
Stadion am Bruchweg
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.86)
1.71 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2% | 23.6% | 45.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| SGV Freiberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 0 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 33% | 46% | 71% | 67% | 69% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 46% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
Form: FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWDWD • SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDD
League goals
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 77% | 100% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 38% | 62% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 8% | 62% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 II | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 II = 1.36 (league 1.86), SGV Freiberg = 1.71 (league 1.63)
| SGV Freiberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 0 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 45.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1