Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:00 •
Wasen-Stadion
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.87)
0.46 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.7% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayern Alzenau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SGV Freiberg | 0 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 7% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 63% | 50% | 56% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 50% | 88% | 69% |
Form: SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDDLDL • Bayern Alzenau: LLDWDLLLWLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 75% | 69% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 44% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 6% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | Bayern Alzenau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.3% |
Advice: Double chance : SGV Freiberg or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SGV Freiberg = 3.21 (league 1.87), Bayern Alzenau = 0.46 (league 1.58)
| Bayern Alzenau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SGV Freiberg | 0 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.7% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 2.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1