Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:00 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.85) 2.60 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 17.3% 32.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.9%
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 3
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05 II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Freiburg II 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
1 1.2% 3.2% 4.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.2%
2 1.7% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.3% 5.6% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
4 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.2%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%73%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Freiburg II FSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins50%25%38%56%29%44%
Draws25%38%31%33%57%44%
Loses25%38%31%11%14%13%

Form: Freiburg II: LWDLDDLWWDLLWWWD • FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Freiburg II FSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
GF total261036171128
GF avg3.31.32.31.91.61.8
GA total20173791120
GA avg2.52.12.31.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%94%81%81%
1.569%69%69%38%
2.531%50%25%6%
3.519%19%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
Wins32
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-00-13-0
Goals For6233
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricFreiburg IIFSV Mainz 05 II
Form56%44%
Att62%38%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Freiburg II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.82 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Freiburg II = 2.85 (league 1.85), FSV Mainz 05 II = 2.60 (league 1.54)

FSV Mainz 05 II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Freiburg II 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
1 1.2% 3.2% 4.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.2%
2 1.7% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.3% 5.6% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
4 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.2%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1