Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Waldstadion Homburg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.85) 0.84 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 19.1% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Freiburg II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC 08 Homburg 0 5.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack50%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%22%33%50%25%39%
Draws33%56%44%20%38%28%
Loses22%22%22%30%38%33%

Form: FC 08 Homburg: DLWWLDDDDWWWLDWDLD • Freiburg II: LWDLDDLWWDLLWWWDWL

League goals

Metric FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II
HATHAT
GF total171734291039
GF avg1.91.91.92.91.32.2
GA total91726231740
GA avg1.01.91.42.32.12.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%89%94%
1.556%33%67%67%
2.528%17%28%44%
3.511%6%17%17%
4.56%6%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
Wins33
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-46-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-32-44-0
Goals For6462
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricFC 08 HomburgFreiburg II
Form38%63%
Att32%68%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Freiburg II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC 08 Homburg = 2.16 (league 1.85), Freiburg II = 0.84 (league 1.54)

Freiburg II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC 08 Homburg 0 5.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1