Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Wasen-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.85) 0.73 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 32.9% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Frankfurt
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 17.4% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack24%59%
Defense71%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGV Freiberg FSV Frankfurt
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%56%56%44%67%56%
Draws33%22%28%22%11%17%
Loses11%22%17%33%22%28%

Form: SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLDW • FSV Frankfurt: WLWWDWWDLLWLLWWWDW

League goals

Metric SGV Freiberg FSV Frankfurt
HATHAT
GF total192039161430
GF avg2.12.22.21.81.61.7
GA total6111710818
GA avg0.71.20.91.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%72%94%56%
1.550%22%44%33%
2.544%0%22%11%
3.522%0%6%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
HATHAT
Clean sheets505448
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
Wins93
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-54-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-33-1
Goals For5543
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricSGV FreibergFSV Frankfurt
Form28%72%
Att29%71%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FSV Frankfurt and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Marathonbet
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SGV Freiberg = 1.02 (league 1.85), FSV Frankfurt = 0.73 (league 1.54)

FSV Frankfurt
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 17.4% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1