Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.85) 1.24 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 24.3% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hessen Kassel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.4% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack58%58%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II Hessen Kassel
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins56%33%44%40%38%39%
Draws33%44%39%40%38%39%
Loses11%22%17%20%25%22%

Form: FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWDWDWDLLW • Hessen Kassel: DWLLDDWWLDLWWDWWDD

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II Hessen Kassel
HATHAT
GF total171431171532
GF avg1.91.61.71.71.91.8
GA total91423121325
GA avg1.01.61.31.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%89%83%
1.567%39%67%39%
2.522%6%22%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
HATHAT
Clean sheets303303
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-33-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IIHessen Kassel
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals59%41%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away3.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 II = 1.65 (league 1.85), Hessen Kassel = 1.24 (league 1.53)

Hessen Kassel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.4% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1