Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 • Mz-Mombach BSA KR1
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.85) 3.43 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.7% 8.2% 74.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 2
10.0%
0 - 4
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Schott Mainz 0 1.7% 5.8% 10.0% 11.4% 9.8% 6.7%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.5% 7.4% 6.3% 4.3%
2 0.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack25%50%
Defense42%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Schott Mainz SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%10%11%60%56%58%
Draws11%30%21%30%22%26%
Loses78%60%68%10%22%16%

Form: Schott Mainz: WLLLDDLLLLLLLLLLDWD • SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Schott Mainz SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
GF total91322222042
GF avg1.01.31.22.22.22.2
GA total22244671118
GA avg2.42.42.40.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%84%89%74%
1.521%79%53%21%
2.511%47%47%0%
3.55%32%21%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets123505
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
Wins19
Draws22
Losses101

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-45-02-5
Biggest losses1-44-01-22-1
Goals For2455
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricSchott MainzSGV Freiberg
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h0%100%
Goals8%92%
Total26.0%74.0%

Advice: Winner : SGV Freiberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.49 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away1.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Schott Mainz = 0.65 (league 1.85), SGV Freiberg = 3.43 (league 1.54)

SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Schott Mainz 0 1.7% 5.8% 10.0% 11.4% 9.8% 6.7%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.5% 7.4% 6.3% 4.3%
2 0.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.7% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 74.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1