Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 18:00 • Wasen-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.85) 0.54 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 16.1% 7.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Eintracht Trier
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 6.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack71%35%
Defense88%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGV Freiberg Eintracht Trier
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%64%62%73%10%43%
Draws30%18%24%9%30%19%
Loses10%18%14%18%60%38%

Form: SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLDWWWW • Eintracht Trier: LWDLDWLWWLWLWWLWDDLLW

League goals

Metric SGV Freiberg Eintracht Trier
HATHAT
GF total222749251237
GF avg2.22.52.32.31.21.8
GA total71118141933
GA avg0.71.00.91.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%67%86%81%
1.552%19%67%43%
2.548%0%24%24%
3.524%0%0%10%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
HATHAT
Clean sheets527404
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
Wins92
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-63-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-42-0
Goals For5632
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricSGV FreibergEintracht Trier
Form72%28%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total71.8%28.2%

Advice: Winner : SGV Freiberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ 10Bet
Away4.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SGV Freiberg = 2.26 (league 1.85), Eintracht Trier = 0.54 (league 1.55)

Eintracht Trier
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGV Freiberg 0 6.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1