Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 •
BIZERBA-Arena
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.81)
2.81 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 12.3% | 74.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| SGV Freiberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Balingen | 0 | 3.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 8% | 46% |
| Defense | 0% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 18% | 19% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 18% | 19% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 60% | 64% | 62% | 10% | 20% | 15% |
BalingenLLWLLLWWLDDLLDLWLLDLL
SGV FreibergWWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 32 | 53 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Balingen | SGV Freiberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 95% | 90% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 62% | 50% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 43% | 45% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 33% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Balingen | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 16% | 84% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 21.0% | 79.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.40 @ 10Bet
Draw4.40 @ 10Bet
Away1.51 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.28 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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