Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Waldstadion Homburg
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.83)
0.75 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 19.8% | 12.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| FSV Mainz 05 II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC 08 Homburg | 0 | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 65% | 41% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 46% |
| Draws | 33% | 42% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 17% | 25% | 21% | 8% | 42% | 25% |
Form: FC 08 Homburg: DLWWLDDDDWWWLDWDLDWWWLDW • FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWDWDWDLLWWLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 23 | 49 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 79% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 25% | 63% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 13% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC 08 Homburg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.8% |
Advice: Double chance : FC 08 Homburg or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC 08 Homburg = 2.04 (league 1.83), FSV Mainz 05 II = 0.75 (league 1.56)
| FSV Mainz 05 II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC 08 Homburg | 0 | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 12.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1