Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Moselstadion
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.81)
1.43 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 21.7% | 27.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Kickers Offenbach | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eintracht Trier | 0 | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Eintracht Trier carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eintracht Trier -10.5, Kickers Offenbach +19.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Eintracht Trier
vs
Kickers Offenbach
Elo gapEintracht Trier +25
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3139.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3139.3
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1564.6 | 1574.7 |
| Form Elo | 1555 | 1574.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1536 | 1510.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1584 | 1627.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1550.6 | 1566.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.5 | +19.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Eintracht Trier last-5 Elo change: -10.5; Kickers Offenbach last-5 Elo change: +19.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 17% | 54% |
| Defense | 58% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 57% | 19% | 37% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Draws | 21% | 25% | 23% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Loses | 21% | 56% | 40% | 27% | 47% | 37% |
Eintracht TrierLWDLDWLWWLWLWWLWDDLLWLLDDWLLDW
Kickers OffenbachWWLLWDDLLDDWWLLDDWLWDLDLLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 20 | 27 | 47 | 22 | 29 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 77% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 23% | 27% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 3% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-1 | 2-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eintracht Trier | Kickers Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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