Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Wasen-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.80)
0.66 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.4% | 25.4% | 15.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FSV Mainz 05 II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SGV Freiberg | 0 | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 21% | 33% |
| Defense | 54% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 67% | 47% | 57% | 53% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 23% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 13% | 27% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
SGV FreibergWWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLDWWWWWWDWDWLLL
FSV Mainz 05 IIDLWWDDWDWWDWDWDLLWWLLWLWWLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 31 | 61 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 20 | 31 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 67% | 83% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 27% | 53% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 7% | 20% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.81 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ William Hill
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League standings
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