Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Städtisches Stadion im Sportzentrum am Prischoß
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.81)
2.17 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1% | 20.6% | 50.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| SV Sandhausen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayern Alzenau | 0 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
SV Sandhausen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bayern Alzenau -14.6, SV Sandhausen +25.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Bayern Alzenau
vs
SV Sandhausen
Elo gapSV Sandhausen +22
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2995.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2995.4
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1469 | 1526.4 |
| Form Elo | 1465.3 | 1543.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1475.6 | 1496.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1572.9 | 1546 |
| Defense Elo | 1447.3 | 1420.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.6 | +25.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Bayern Alzenau last-5 Elo change: -14.6; SV Sandhausen last-5 Elo change: +25.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 26% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 29% | 19% | 23% | 40% | 53% | 47% |
| Draws | 29% | 6% | 17% | 27% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 43% | 75% | 60% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Bayern AlzenauLLDWDLLLWLLLLLLDDLWWLWWLDLLLLW
SV SandhausenLLWLDWLLWWLDDWWWWLWWLDDWDLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 16 | 38 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 28 | 33 | 61 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 77% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 57% | 47% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 47% | 23% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 23% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayern Alzenau | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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