Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 17:00 •
Holzbau Grübl Arena Erlbach
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.81)
0.63 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.2% | 37.1% | 25.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Heimstetten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erlbach | 0 | 23.3% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 53% | 76% |
| Defense | 65% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Form: Erlbach: WDWDLWWDLWW • Heimstetten: DDDLDLDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erlbach | Heimstetten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 55% | 92% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 33% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erlbach | Heimstetten |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Erlbach or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erlbach = 0.83 (league 1.81), Heimstetten = 0.63 (league 1.43)
| Heimstetten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erlbach | 0 | 23.3% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 25.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1