Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:30 •
Holzbau Grübl Arena Erlbach
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.81)
0.73 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.3% | 39.8% | 34.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
0 - 1
19.8%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erlbach | 0 | 27.2% | 19.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 57% | 46% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 29% | 23% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
Form: Erlbach: WDWDLWWDLWWLD • Sportfreunde Schwaig: LWWWLDDLWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 54% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 23% | 43% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 36% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erlbach | Sportfreunde Schwaig |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sportfreunde Schwaig
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erlbach = 0.57 (league 1.81), Sportfreunde Schwaig = 0.73 (league 1.43)
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erlbach | 0 | 27.2% | 19.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 34.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1