Sturm Hauzenberg vs Ismaning

Oberliga - Bayern Süd — Germany

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Staffelberg Stadion

Not Started

Sturm Hauzenberg

—

Ismaning

Expected Goals

1.11 (league 1.71) 1.03 (league 1.26)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
37.0%	29.6%	33.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.5%

1 - 0

13.1%

0 - 1

12.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Ismaning
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sturm Hauzenberg	0	11.8%	12.2%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.1%	13.5%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	7.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	2.7%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sturm Hauzenberg -11.0, Ismaning -28.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Sturm Hauzenberg Elo 1392.3 · -11.0

Ismaning Elo 1434.4 · -28.6

Elo gapIsmaning +7

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo2826.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2826.7

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Overall Elo	1392.3	1434.4
Form Elo	1390.8	1429.1
Home / Away Elo	1475.8	1446.8
Attack Elo	1359.9	1476.6
Defense Elo	1384.3	1378.9
Last 5 Elo change	-11.0	-28.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sturm Hauzenberg last-5 Elo change: -11.0; Ismaning last-5 Elo change: -28.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Played	5	5
Form	20%	27%
Attack	14%	36%
Defense	29%	21%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg			Ismaning
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	36%	0%	18%	43%	14%	29%
Draws	14%	14%	14%	36%	29%	32%
Loses	50%	86%	68%	21%	57%	39%

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IsmaningDDDLDDWDLWWLWLLLDLWDWWLDLLWL

League goals

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg			Ismaning
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	8	20	26	14	40
GF avg	0.9	0.6	0.7	1.9	1.0	1.4
GA total	18	39	57	20	30	50
GA avg	1.3	2.8	2.0	1.4	2.1	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sturm Hauzenberg		Ismaning
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	82%	82%	86%
1.5	14%	57%	39%	50%
2.5	7%	39%	18%	25%
3.5	0%	18%	4%	7%
4.5	0%	7%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg			Ismaning
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	0	5	2	2	4
Failed to score	6	8	14	2	3	5

Penalties

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	6	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	—	4-1	1-2
Biggest losses	0-3	5-0	0-3	7-1
Goals For	3	2	4	2
Goals Against	3	5	3	7

Model comparison

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Form	43%	57%
Att	29%	71%
Def	52%	48%
Poisson Distribution	51%	49%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	43.0%	57.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Sturm Hauzenberg vs Ismaning

Metric	Sturm Hauzenberg	Ismaning
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0