Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 2.04) 0.91 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 21.2% 16.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kilia Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heider SV 0 5.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeider SVKilia Kiel
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack32%47%
Defense37%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heider SV Kilia Kiel
HATHAT
Played538347
Wins60%67%63%67%0%29%
Draws0%0%0%33%25%29%
Loses40%33%38%0%75%43%

Form: Heider SV: WWWWLLLW • Kilia Kiel: WLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Heider SV Kilia Kiel
HATHAT
GF total1071711415
GF avg2.02.32.13.71.02.1
GA total85134812
GA avg1.61.71.61.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeider SVKilia Kiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%100%86%
1.550%50%43%57%
2.550%13%43%29%
3.525%13%14%0%
4.50%13%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeider SVKilia Kiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricHeider SVKilia Kiel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHeider SVKilia Kiel
Wins41
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-1—
Biggest losses1-62-1—3-1
Goals For4351
Goals Against6233

Model comparison

MetricHeider SVKilia Kiel
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total46.6%53.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kilia Kiel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw4.75 @ 10Bet
Away4.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.18 @ Marathonbet
No4.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.18 @ 1xBet
Under 2.54.30 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Heider SV = 1.96 (league 2.04), Kilia Kiel = 0.91 (league 1.77)

Kilia Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heider SV 0 5.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1