Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:30 • Kilia-Platz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.88 (league 2.03) 1.49 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 6.6% 5.0%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.0%
5 - 1
5.9%
3 - 1
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kaltenkirchen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilia Kiel 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.9% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilia KielKaltenkirchen
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack47%58%
Defense26%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilia Kiel Kaltenkirchen
HATHAT
Played46107411
Wins50%0%20%43%0%27%
Draws25%33%30%29%0%18%
Loses25%67%50%29%100%55%

Form: Kilia Kiel: WLWDLDLLLD • Kaltenkirchen: LLLLDLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Kilia Kiel Kaltenkirchen
HATHAT
GF total1282012517
GF avg3.01.32.01.71.31.5
GA total81321101323
GA avg2.02.22.11.43.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilia KielKaltenkirchen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%90%82%91%
1.540%60%45%64%
2.540%40%18%45%
3.510%20%9%9%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilia KielKaltenkirchen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricKilia KielKaltenkirchen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKilia KielKaltenkirchen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—3-0—
Biggest losses1-43-10-24-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricKilia KielKaltenkirchen
Form17%83%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kaltenkirchen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilia Kiel = 4.88 (league 2.03), Kaltenkirchen = 1.49 (league 1.74)

Kaltenkirchen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilia Kiel 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.9% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1