Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 17:30 •
Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.95)
1.87 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | 19.0% | 28.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hohenwestedt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Phönix L. II | 0 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Phönix L. II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 99 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Phönix L. II -13.7, Hohenwestedt -24.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Phönix L. II
vs
Hohenwestedt
Elo gapPhönix L. II +99
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2962.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2962.8
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1513.6 | 1449.2 |
| Form Elo | 1507 | 1427.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.3 | 1524.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1630.8 | 1512.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1409.7 | 1339.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.7 | -24.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Phönix L. II last-5 Elo change: -13.7; Hohenwestedt last-5 Elo change: -24.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 77% | 14% |
| Defense | 32% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 54% | 44% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 8% | 20% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 36% | 62% | 58% | 60% |
Phönix L. IILLWWDWDWLWDWWWLLLLWWDLWLD
HohenwestedtWLLLDDLWLLLWLWDLLWLLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 29 | 54 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 30 | 52 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 96% | 76% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 48% | 44% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 32% | 16% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 20% | 8% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Phönix L. II | Hohenwestedt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 85% | 15% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.4% | 38.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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