Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • A-Platz Satrup
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 2.04) 2.61 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 18.1% 54.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
1 - 3
7.1%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kilia Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nordmark Satrup 0 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
1 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.6% 2.4%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.5% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack17%83%
Defense61%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.819 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%33%38%75%25%50%
Draws0%11%6%13%25%19%
Loses57%56%56%13%50%31%

Form: Nordmark Satrup: LLLLLWWWDWWLLLWL • Kilia Kiel: WLWDLDLLLDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel
HATHAT
GF total121022241842
GF avg1.71.11.43.02.32.6
GA total141327121527
GA avg2.01.41.71.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%100%81%
1.531%50%63%50%
2.519%38%56%25%
3.513%13%19%13%
4.56%6%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
Wins31
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-10-7
Biggest losses1-53-01-43-1
Goals For5357
Goals Against5344

Model comparison

MetricNordmark SatrupKilia Kiel
Form17%83%
Att17%83%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total27.4%72.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Kilia Kiel and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nordmark Satrup = 1.59 (league 2.04), Kilia Kiel = 2.61 (league 1.77)

Kilia Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nordmark Satrup 0 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
1 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.6% 2.4%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.5% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 54.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1