Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
JODA Sportpark
Expected Goals
3.73 (league 1.95)
0.41 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Eutiner SV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Todesfelde | 0 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Todesfelde carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 240 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Todesfelde +21.1, Eutiner SV +11.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Todesfelde
vs
Eutiner SV
Elo gapTodesfelde +240
Home / draw / away66% / 18% / 16%
Expected home share80%
Combined Elo3081.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3081.2
Elo home share
80%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1642.9 | 1438.3 |
| Form Elo | 1663.5 | 1443.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.9 | 1459.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1684.3 | 1404.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1625.3 | 1353 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.1 | +11.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Todesfelde last-5 Elo change: +21.1; Eutiner SV last-5 Elo change: +11.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 59% | 27% |
| Defense | 77% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 77% | 100% | 88% | 33% | 8% | 20% |
| Draws | 15% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 31% | 24% |
| Loses | 8% | 0% | 4% | 50% | 62% | 56% |
TodesfeldeWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWLWWWW
Eutiner SVWLLLWDWLLLDLLLDWLLDLDLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 34 | 70 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 44% | 56% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 84% | 20% | 36% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 4% | 12% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 4% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 13 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Todesfelde | Eutiner SV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 93% | 7% |
| Total | 79.3% | 20.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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