Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Projekt 29 Arena
Expected Goals
4.42 (league 1.90)
0.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
9.1%
3 - 0
8.2%
5 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Gebenbach | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Regensburg | 0 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 80% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 80% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 80% | 67% |
Form: Fortuna Regensburg: WWWLWDLWL • Gebenbach: LLWLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 89% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 89% | 56% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 22% | 11% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-4 | 7-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-2 | 1-7 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fortuna Regensburg | Gebenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Fortuna Regensburg and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Regensburg = 4.42 (league 1.90), Gebenbach = 0.74 (league 1.34)
| Gebenbach | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Regensburg | 0 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 2.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1