Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:00 • Sportanlage Langenau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.90) 1.49 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.8% 23.1% 32.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Regensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eltersdorf 0 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.3% 7.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack60%67%
Defense73%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eltersdorf Fortuna Regensburg
HATHAT
Played64106410
Wins50%75%60%67%25%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses50%25%40%0%75%30%

Form: Eltersdorf: LWLLWWWWLW • Fortuna Regensburg: WWWLWDLWLD

League goals

Metric Eltersdorf Fortuna Regensburg
HATHAT
GF total691516824
GF avg1.02.31.52.72.02.4
GA total641061319
GA avg1.01.01.01.03.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%90%90%
1.550%20%80%50%
2.520%0%40%20%
3.510%0%20%20%
4.50%0%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
Wins43
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-45-12-4
Biggest losses0-21-05-2
Goals For2454
Goals Against2125

Model comparison

MetricEltersdorfFortuna Regensburg
Form71%29%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Eltersdorf or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eltersdorf = 1.74 (league 1.90), Fortuna Regensburg = 1.49 (league 1.34)

Fortuna Regensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eltersdorf 0 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.3% 7.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1