Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Projekt 29 Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.90) 1.27 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 25.8% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kornburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Regensburg 0 6.8% 8.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna RegensburgKornburg
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack90%40%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Kornburg
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%20%45%20%33%27%
Draws33%0%18%20%67%45%
Loses0%80%36%60%0%27%

Form: Fortuna Regensburg: WWWLWDLWLDL • Kornburg: DWDLDWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Kornburg
HATHAT
GF total1692581018
GF avg2.71.82.31.61.71.6
GA total615216612
GA avg1.03.01.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna RegensburgKornburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%82%82%
1.573%55%27%27%
2.536%18%18%0%
3.518%18%18%0%
4.59%9%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna RegensburgKornburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFortuna RegensburgKornburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFortuna RegensburgKornburg
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-45-02-5
Biggest losses5-21-2
Goals For5455
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricFortuna RegensburgKornburg
Form44%56%
Att69%31%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h91%9%
Goals63%37%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Regensburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Regensburg = 1.42 (league 1.90), Kornburg = 1.27 (league 1.34)

Kornburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Regensburg 0 6.8% 8.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1