Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportgelände Gebenbach
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.73)
1.55 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 24.5% | 41.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Eintracht Bamberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gebenbach | 0 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Gebenbach carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 28 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gebenbach +0.5, Eintracht Bamberg -1.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Gebenbach
vs
Eintracht Bamberg
Elo gapGebenbach +28
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2993.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2993.4
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493 | 1500.4 |
| Form Elo | 1501.6 | 1503.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.9 | 1505.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1498.2 | 1478.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1371.9 | 1469.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.5 | -1.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Gebenbach last-5 Elo change: +0.5; Eintracht Bamberg last-5 Elo change: -1.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 63% | 31% |
| Defense | 44% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 45% | 47% | 36% | 41% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Loses | 29% | 47% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
GebenbachLLWLLLLWWDDDWWWLDWLLWWWDWWWLL
Eintracht BambergWLDDLDWLWWWDDLWWWWLDLWWWDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 27 | 45 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 69% | 86% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 31% | 55% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 24% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 14% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 6-2 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gebenbach | Eintracht Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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