Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Südstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.54) 0.87 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.7% 18.4% 13.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
SSVg Velbert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack100%17%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Köln SSVg Velbert
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%0%0%0%
Draws50%25%38%25%75%50%
Loses0%25%13%75%25%50%

Form: Fortuna Köln: WDLWDWWD • SSVg Velbert: DLDLDLLD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Köln SSVg Velbert
HATHAT
GF total9817156
GF avg2.32.02.10.31.30.8
GA total4488614
GA avg1.01.01.02.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%75%
1.563%25%25%75%
2.538%13%0%25%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score101314

Penalties

MetricFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
Wins20
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-3
Biggest losses3-20-32-1
Goals For5312
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricFortuna KölnSSVg Velbert
Form85%15%
Att87%13%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total76.8%23.2%

Advice: Winner : Fortuna Köln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ William Hill
Draw5.38 @ Pinnacle
Away8.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Köln = 2.24 (league 1.54), SSVg Velbert = 0.87 (league 1.49)

SSVg Velbert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 13.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1