Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion am Lotter Kreuz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.64 (league 1.54) 3.08 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 14.8% 25.8%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.7%
3 - 2
4.6%
4 - 3
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wuppertaler SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Lotte 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0%
2 0.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.7% 3.6% 2.2%
4 0.9% 2.7% 4.2% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0%
5 0.6% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack46%54%
Defense46%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportfreunde Lotte Wuppertaler SV
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%20%25%22%
Draws50%20%33%20%25%22%
Loses25%40%33%60%50%56%

Form: Sportfreunde Lotte: DWLLWWDDL • Wuppertaler SV: LWLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Sportfreunde Lotte Wuppertaler SV
HATHAT
GF total85134812
GF avg2.01.01.40.82.01.3
GA total9918101121
GA avg2.31.82.02.02.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%67%89%
1.556%44%44%56%
2.511%33%22%33%
3.50%22%0%22%
4.50%11%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-3
Biggest losses3-54-10-56-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against5456

Model comparison

MetricSportfreunde LotteWuppertaler SV
Form67%33%
Att46%54%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sportfreunde Lotte or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Unibet
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away4.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.70 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sportfreunde Lotte = 3.64 (league 1.54), Wuppertaler SV = 3.08 (league 1.49)

Wuppertaler SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Lotte 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0%
2 0.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.7% 3.6% 2.2%
4 0.9% 2.7% 4.2% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0%
5 0.6% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1