Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Südstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.28 (league 1.54) 1.07 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.2% 11.8% 8.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
3 - 0
7.6%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.9% 7.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.1% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack94%41%
Defense82%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Köln Borussia Dortmund II
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%20%60%40%
Draws40%20%30%60%0%30%
Loses0%20%10%20%40%30%

Form: Fortuna Köln: WDLWDWWDWW • Borussia Dortmund II: LDWDWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Köln Borussia Dortmund II
HATHAT
GF total14122681018
GF avg2.82.42.61.62.01.8
GA total4488917
GA avg0.80.80.81.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%50%90%90%
1.570%20%60%60%
2.550%10%10%20%
3.530%0%10%0%
4.520%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-13-5
Biggest losses3-21-23-0
Goals For5425
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricFortuna KölnBorussia Dortmund II
Form65%35%
Att70%30%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Winner : Fortuna Köln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Köln = 3.28 (league 1.54), Borussia Dortmund II = 1.07 (league 1.49)

Borussia Dortmund II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.9% 7.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.1% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1