Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:00 •
Leimbachstadion
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.58)
1.24 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | 29.6% | 47.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortuna Köln | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 0 | 13.6% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 38% | 40% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
| Loses | 14% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Form: Sportfreunde Siegen: WDDWWWWDDDDLLWD • Fortuna Köln: WDLWDWWDWWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 73% | 80% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 13% | 47% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportfreunde Siegen | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 34.6% | 65.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Köln
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sportfreunde Siegen = 0.75 (league 1.58), Fortuna Köln = 1.24 (league 1.52)
| Fortuna Köln | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 0 | 13.6% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 47.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1