Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:00 • Leimbachstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.60) 1.21 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 30.1% 47.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Siegen 0 14.1% 17.1% 10.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack75%67%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportfreunde Siegen Fortuna Köln
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%50%57%53%
Draws43%50%47%50%29%40%
Loses14%13%13%0%14%7%

Form: Sportfreunde Siegen: WDDWWWWDDDDLLWD • Fortuna Köln: WDLWDWWDWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Sportfreunde Siegen Fortuna Köln
HATHAT
GF total121729191534
GF avg1.72.11.92.42.12.3
GA total612188513
GA avg0.91.51.21.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%80%53%
1.567%33%67%27%
2.533%13%47%7%
3.57%0%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
HATHAT
Clean sheets224347
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
Wins42
Draws42
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-45-00-4
Biggest losses0-13-23-2
Goals For3454
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSportfreunde SiegenFortuna Köln
Form36%64%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total34.6%65.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Köln

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sportfreunde Siegen = 0.75 (league 1.60), Fortuna Köln = 1.21 (league 1.56)

Fortuna Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Siegen 0 14.1% 17.1% 10.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1