Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:00 • Home Deluxe Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.19 (league 1.59) 0.75 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 5.5% 2.6%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
8.8%
5 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
SSVg Velbert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paderborn II 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaderborn IISSVg Velbert
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack38%75%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paderborn II SSVg Velbert
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%13%0%7%
Draws14%63%40%13%43%27%
Loses43%25%33%75%57%67%

Form: Paderborn II: WDWLDLDWDDLLWLD • SSVg Velbert: DLDLDLLDLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Paderborn II SSVg Velbert
HATHAT
GF total167237613
GF avg2.30.91.50.90.90.9
GA total9817172037
GA avg1.31.01.12.12.92.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaderborn IISSVg Velbert
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%60%87%
1.533%33%27%80%
2.520%13%0%47%
3.513%0%0%20%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaderborn IISSVg Velbert
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricPaderborn IISSVg Velbert
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPaderborn IISSVg Velbert
Wins10
Draws21
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-22-1—
Biggest losses1-33-10-35-0
Goals For6222
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricPaderborn IISSVg Velbert
Form57%43%
Att33%67%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Winner : Paderborn II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away7.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paderborn II = 4.19 (league 1.59), SSVg Velbert = 0.75 (league 1.56)

SSVg Velbert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paderborn II 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 5.5% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1