Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Südstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.60) 0.90 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.1% 17.1% 12.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack35%30%
Defense78%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Köln Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%50%50%25%50%38%
Draws50%38%44%38%25%31%
Loses0%13%6%38%25%31%

Form: Fortuna Köln: WDLWDWWDWWDDWWDD • Sportfreunde Lotte: DWLLWWDDLLWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Fortuna Köln Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
GF total191736121123
GF avg2.42.12.31.51.41.4
GA total8715141327
GA avg1.00.90.91.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%81%88%
1.569%31%50%44%
2.544%6%13%19%
3.519%0%0%13%
4.513%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Clean sheets347112
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-12-3
Biggest losses3-23-54-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricFortuna KölnSportfreunde Lotte
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Köln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Köln = 2.41 (league 1.60), Sportfreunde Lotte = 0.90 (league 1.56)

Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Köln 0 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1