Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:00 • Christopeit Sport Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.59) 1.61 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 24.6% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSVg Velbert 0 6.0% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack44%39%
Defense28%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SSVg Velbert Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins11%0%6%25%44%35%
Draws22%38%29%38%22%29%
Loses67%63%65%38%33%35%

Form: SSVg Velbert: DLDLDLLDLLLLLLWLD • Sportfreunde Lotte: DWLLWWDDLLWLDDWWL

League goals

Metric SSVg Velbert Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
GF total9817121123
GF avg1.01.01.01.51.21.4
GA total192342141731
GA avg2.12.92.51.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%88%76%88%
1.535%82%47%47%
2.50%47%12%24%
3.50%18%0%18%
4.50%12%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
Wins12
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-12-3
Biggest losses0-35-03-54-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricSSVg VelbertSportfreunde Lotte
Form33%67%
Att53%47%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sportfreunde Lotte

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SSVg Velbert = 1.19 (league 1.59), Sportfreunde Lotte = 1.61 (league 1.56)

Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSVg Velbert 0 6.0% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1