Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Franz-Kremer-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.53) 1.49 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 20.4% 25.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Köln II 0 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%62%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Köln II Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Played1091981119
Wins60%44%53%25%45%37%
Draws10%11%11%38%27%32%
Loses30%44%37%38%27%32%

Form: Köln II: LWLLLWWWWDDLLWWLWWW • Sportfreunde Lotte: DWLLWWDDLLWLDDWWLWD

League goals

Metric Köln II Sportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
GF total211536121527
GF avg2.11.71.91.51.41.4
GA total162137141832
GA avg1.62.31.91.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%84%
1.563%58%47%42%
2.542%32%16%21%
3.55%16%0%16%
4.50%11%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
Wins42
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-10-3
Biggest losses3-55-03-54-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against5554

Model comparison

MetricKöln IISportfreunde Lotte
Form55%45%
Att62%38%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Köln II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.57 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Köln II = 2.19 (league 1.53), Sportfreunde Lotte = 1.49 (league 1.50)

Sportfreunde Lotte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Köln II 0 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1