Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 18:00 • Leimbachstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.57) 0.45 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 29.8% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paderborn II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Siegen 0 18.1% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack85%38%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportfreunde Siegen Paderborn II
HATHAT
Played81119101121
Wins38%45%42%50%9%29%
Draws50%45%47%20%45%33%
Loses13%9%11%30%45%38%

Form: Sportfreunde Siegen: WDDWWWWDDDDLLWDDDWW • Paderborn II: WDWLDLDWDDLLWLDWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Sportfreunde Siegen Paderborn II
HATHAT
GF total14253923831
GF avg1.82.32.12.30.71.5
GA total81725111223
GA avg1.01.51.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%74%62%67%
1.574%42%33%33%
2.532%16%24%10%
3.511%0%14%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score202358

Penalties

MetricSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
Wins41
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-46-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-21-33-1
Goals For3462
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricSportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sportfreunde Siegen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sportfreunde Siegen = 1.26 (league 1.57), Paderborn II = 0.45 (league 1.56)

Paderborn II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportfreunde Siegen 0 18.1% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 13.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1