Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion MOSiR
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.79)
1.90 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 18.6% | 27.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bełchatów | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Warta Sieradz | 0 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 60% | 80% |
| Defense | 73% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 25% | 60% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 50% | 20% | 33% |
Form: Warta Sieradz: LWWLWWWWD • Bełchatów: DDWLLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 56% | 89% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 33% | 78% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 3-6 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Bełchatów |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Warta Sieradz or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Warta Sieradz = 2.57 (league 1.79), Bełchatów = 1.90 (league 1.50)
| Bełchatów | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Warta Sieradz | 0 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 27.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1