Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 •
GIEKSA Arena
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.84)
3.41 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 14.6% | 52.9% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.0%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bełchatów | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 70% |
| Defense | 65% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
| Draws | 27% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 45% | 55% | 50% | 45% | 36% | 41% |
Form: Bełchatów: DDWLLWLWWLDLDLLLLWDLLW • Lechia T. Mazowiecki: LDWWLLWLWDLLWLDLWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 14 | 36 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 27 | 23 | 50 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 91% | 91% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 64% | 41% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 41% | 32% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 23% | 18% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-3 | 7-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-6 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bełchatów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lechia T. Mazowiecki and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bełchatów = 1.95 (league 1.84), Lechia T. Mazowiecki = 3.41 (league 1.46)
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bełchatów | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 52.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1