Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.74)
1.09 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
home | draw | away |
51.2% |
23.8% |
24.0% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Pogoń Szczecin II |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Victoria Września |
0 |
6.0% |
6.6% |
3.6% |
1.3% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
1 |
10.3% |
11.3% |
6.2% |
2.3% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
2 |
8.9% |
9.7% |
5.3% |
1.9% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
3 |
5.1% |
5.6% |
3.0% |
1.1% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
4 |
2.2% |
2.4% |
1.3% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
5 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
Metric | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
Played | 5 | 5 |
Form | 20% | 27% |
Attack | 24% | 29% |
Defense | 41% | 18% |
Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
Metric |
Victoria Września |
Pogoń Szczecin II |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Wins | 20% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Loses | 80% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Form: Victoria Września: LLWLLLLW • Pogoń Szczecin II: WLLWDLLL
League goals
Metric |
Victoria Września |
Pogoń Szczecin II |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
GA total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
Line | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
| For | Against | For | Against |
0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 88% |
1.5 | 13% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
2.5 | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
Metric | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
Metric | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
Metric | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
Wins | 1 | 1 |
Draws | 0 | 1 |
Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
Metric | H | A | H | A |
Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 6-0 |
Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
Metric | Victoria Września | Pogoń Szczecin II |
---|
Form | 43% | 57% |
Att | 44% | 56% |
Def | 58% | 42% |
Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
H2h | 0% | 0% |
Goals | 0% | 0% |
Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Victoria Września or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Marathonbet
Away1.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.15 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Marathonbet
No2.23 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
Marathonbet
Updated: 2025-09-20T12:00:38+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
3.65 |
Draw |
3.65 |
Away |
1.78 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
3.72 |
Draw |
2.65 |
Away |
2.12 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
Selection | Odds |
Home -1 |
6.55 |
Away -1 |
1.05 |
Home -0.25 |
3.12 |
Away -0.25 |
1.28 |
Home +0 |
2.76 |
Away +0 |
1.37 |
Home +0.25 |
2.21 |
Away +0.25 |
1.58 |
Home +0.75 |
1.71 |
Away +0.75 |
2.02 |
Home +1 |
1.49 |
Away +1 |
2.44 |
Home +2 |
1.10 |
Away +2 |
5.15 |
Home -1.5 |
7.40 |
Away -1.5 |
1.03 |
Home +1.25 |
1.39 |
Away +1.25 |
2.77 |
Home +1.5 |
1.31 |
Away +1.5 |
3.10 |
Home +1.75 |
1.21 |
Away +1.75 |
3.75 |
Home +2.5 |
1.07 |
Away +2.5 |
5.80 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.16 |
Under 1.5 |
4.10 |
Over 1.75 |
1.20 |
Under 1.75 |
3.70 |
Over 2.0 |
1.25 |
Under 2.0 |
3.28 |
Over 2.25 |
1.42 |
Under 2.25 |
2.49 |
Over 2.5 |
1.62 |
Under 2.5 |
2.15 |
Over 2.75 |
1.74 |
Under 2.75 |
1.89 |
Over 3.5 |
2.46 |
Under 3.5 |
1.43 |
Over 3.0 |
1.98 |
Under 3.0 |
1.67 |
Over 4.5 |
4.35 |
Under 4.5 |
1.14 |
Over 3.25 |
2.24 |
Under 3.25 |
1.52 |
Over 3.75 |
2.92 |
Under 3.75 |
1.31 |
Over 4.0 |
3.74 |
Under 4.0 |
1.19 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.35 |
Under 1.5 |
1.50 |
Over 0.5 |
1.28 |
Under 0.5 |
3.22 |
Over 1.0 |
1.60 |
Under 1.0 |
2.20 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.85 |
Under 1.5 |
1.86 |
Over 2.0 |
2.72 |
Under 2.0 |
1.38 |
Over 1.0 |
1.28 |
Under 1.0 |
3.18 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
1.57 |
No |
2.19 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
Selection | Odds |
Home +1 |
1.83 |
Draw +1 |
3.56 |
Away +1 |
3.10 |
Home +2 |
1.31 |
Draw +2 |
5.15 |
Away +2 |
5.80 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.83 |
Home/Away |
1.20 |
Draw/Away |
1.20 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
4.15 |
Draw |
2.28 |
Away |
2.29 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.39 |
Draw |
15.00 |
Away |
1.59 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.38 |
Draw |
15.00 |
Away |
1.59 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.63 |
Under 1.5 |
1.39 |
Over 1 |
1.75 |
Under 1 |
1.92 |
Over 2 |
5.20 |
Under 2 |
1.10 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.70 |
Under 1.5 |
1.98 |
Over 1 |
1.21 |
Under 1 |
3.66 |
Over 2 |
2.39 |
Under 2 |
1.47 |
1xBet
Updated: 2025-09-20T12:00:38+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
3.71 |
Draw |
3.65 |
Away |
1.80 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
3.83 |
Draw |
2.65 |
Away |
2.14 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
Selection | Odds |
Home -1 |
6.55 |
Away -1 |
1.05 |
Home -0.25 |
3.12 |
Away -0.25 |
1.28 |
Home +0 |
2.76 |
Away +0 |
1.37 |
Home +0.25 |
2.21 |
Away +0.25 |
1.58 |
Home +0.75 |
1.71 |
Away +0.75 |
2.02 |
Home +1 |
1.49 |
Away +1 |
2.44 |
Home +2 |
1.10 |
Away +2 |
5.15 |
Home -1.5 |
7.40 |
Away -1.5 |
1.03 |
Home +1.25 |
1.39 |
Away +1.25 |
2.77 |
Home +1.5 |
1.31 |
Away +1.5 |
3.10 |
Home +1.75 |
1.21 |
Away +1.75 |
3.75 |
Home +2.5 |
1.07 |
Away +2.5 |
5.80 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.16 |
Under 1.5 |
4.10 |
Over 1.75 |
1.20 |
Under 1.75 |
3.70 |
Over 2.0 |
1.25 |
Under 2.0 |
3.28 |
Over 2.25 |
1.42 |
Under 2.25 |
2.49 |
Over 2.5 |
1.62 |
Under 2.5 |
2.15 |
Over 2.75 |
1.74 |
Under 2.75 |
1.89 |
Over 3.5 |
2.46 |
Under 3.5 |
1.43 |
Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
Under 0.5 |
9.50 |
Over 1.0 |
1.05 |
Under 1.0 |
8.00 |
Over 3.0 |
1.98 |
Under 3.0 |
1.67 |
Over 4.5 |
4.35 |
Under 4.5 |
1.14 |
Over 3.25 |
2.24 |
Under 3.25 |
1.52 |
Over 3.75 |
2.92 |
Under 3.75 |
1.31 |
Over 4.0 |
3.74 |
Under 4.0 |
1.19 |
Over 5.5 |
7.30 |
Under 5.5 |
1.06 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.35 |
Under 1.5 |
1.50 |
Over 2.0 |
4.30 |
Under 2.0 |
1.18 |
Over 2.5 |
5.30 |
Under 2.5 |
1.12 |
Over 0.5 |
1.28 |
Under 0.5 |
3.22 |
Over 0.75 |
1.39 |
Under 0.75 |
2.73 |
Over 1.0 |
1.60 |
Under 1.0 |
2.20 |
Over 1.25 |
1.98 |
Under 1.25 |
1.72 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.85 |
Under 1.5 |
1.86 |
Over 1.75 |
2.13 |
Under 1.75 |
1.62 |
Over 2.0 |
2.72 |
Under 2.0 |
1.38 |
Over 2.5 |
3.45 |
Under 2.5 |
1.25 |
Over 0.5 |
1.16 |
Under 0.5 |
4.60 |
Over 1.0 |
1.28 |
Under 1.0 |
3.18 |
Over 1.25 |
1.57 |
Under 1.25 |
2.23 |
Over 3.0 |
6.50 |
Under 3.0 |
1.08 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
15.00 |
Home/Away |
22.00 |
Draw/Away |
5.00 |
Draw/Draw |
5.80 |
Home/Home |
5.80 |
Draw/Home |
8.20 |
Away/Home |
35.00 |
Away/Draw |
14.00 |
Away/Away |
2.70 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
1.57 |
No |
2.23 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
Selection | Odds |
1:0 |
8.80 |
2:0 |
14.00 |
2:1 |
7.80 |
3:0 |
35.00 |
3:1 |
18.00 |
3:2 |
20.00 |
4:0 |
100.00 |
4:1 |
60.00 |
0:0 |
9.50 |
1:1 |
4.80 |
2:2 |
8.00 |
0:1 |
6.00 |
0:2 |
6.60 |
0:3 |
10.00 |
1:2 |
5.40 |
1:3 |
8.60 |
2:3 |
14.00 |
3:3 |
30.00 |
0:4 |
22.00 |
1:4 |
18.00 |
2:4 |
29.00 |
4:2 |
60.00 |
0:5 |
60.00 |
0:6 |
100.00 |
1:5 |
50.00 |
1:6 |
100.00 |
2:5 |
100.00 |
2:6 |
100.00 |
3:4 |
100.00 |
5:0 |
100.00 |
5:1 |
100.00 |
5:2 |
100.00 |
6:0 |
100.00 |
6:1 |
100.00 |
6:2 |
100.00 |
4:3 |
100.00 |
3:5 |
100.00 |
3:6 |
100.00 |
4:5 |
100.00 |
4:6 |
100.00 |
5:3 |
100.00 |
5:4 |
100.00 |
5:6 |
100.00 |
6:3 |
100.00 |
6:4 |
100.00 |
6:5 |
100.00 |
4:4 |
100.00 |
7:0 |
100.00 |
7:1 |
100.00 |
7:2 |
100.00 |
7:3 |
100.00 |
7:4 |
100.00 |
7:5 |
100.00 |
7:6 |
100.00 |
8:0 |
100.00 |
8:1 |
100.00 |
8:2 |
100.00 |
8:3 |
100.00 |
8:4 |
100.00 |
8:5 |
100.00 |
8:6 |
100.00 |
8:7 |
100.00 |
9:0 |
100.00 |
9:1 |
100.00 |
9:2 |
100.00 |
9:3 |
100.00 |
9:4 |
100.00 |
9:5 |
100.00 |
9:6 |
100.00 |
9:7 |
100.00 |
9:8 |
100.00 |
10:0 |
100.00 |
10:1 |
100.00 |
10:2 |
100.00 |
10:3 |
100.00 |
10:4 |
100.00 |
10:5 |
100.00 |
10:6 |
100.00 |
10:7 |
100.00 |
10:8 |
100.00 |
10:9 |
100.00 |
5:5 |
100.00 |
6:6 |
100.00 |
7:7 |
100.00 |
8:8 |
100.00 |
9:9 |
100.00 |
10:10 |
100.00 |
0:7 |
100.00 |
0:8 |
100.00 |
0:9 |
100.00 |
0:10 |
100.00 |
1:7 |
100.00 |
1:8 |
100.00 |
1:9 |
100.00 |
1:10 |
100.00 |
2:7 |
100.00 |
2:8 |
100.00 |
2:9 |
100.00 |
2:10 |
100.00 |
3:7 |
100.00 |
3:8 |
100.00 |
3:9 |
100.00 |
3:10 |
100.00 |
4:7 |
100.00 |
4:8 |
100.00 |
4:9 |
100.00 |
4:10 |
100.00 |
5:7 |
100.00 |
5:8 |
100.00 |
5:9 |
100.00 |
5:10 |
100.00 |
6:7 |
100.00 |
6:8 |
100.00 |
6:9 |
100.00 |
6:10 |
100.00 |
7:8 |
100.00 |
7:9 |
100.00 |
7:10 |
100.00 |
8:9 |
100.00 |
8:10 |
100.00 |
9:10 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
Selection | Odds |
Draw |
3.68 |
1st Half |
2.97 |
2nd Half |
1.98 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
Selection | Odds |
1:0 |
5.60 |
2:0 |
20.00 |
2:1 |
24.00 |
3:0 |
100.00 |
3:1 |
100.00 |
3:2 |
100.00 |
4:0 |
100.00 |
4:1 |
100.00 |
0:0 |
3.22 |
1:1 |
6.80 |
2:2 |
60.00 |
0:1 |
3.80 |
0:2 |
8.80 |
0:3 |
37.00 |
1:2 |
16.00 |
1:3 |
80.00 |
2:3 |
100.00 |
3:3 |
100.00 |
0:4 |
100.00 |
1:4 |
100.00 |
2:4 |
100.00 |
4:2 |
100.00 |
0:5 |
100.00 |
1:5 |
100.00 |
2:5 |
100.00 |
3:4 |
100.00 |
5:0 |
100.00 |
5:1 |
100.00 |
5:2 |
100.00 |
4:3 |
100.00 |
3:5 |
100.00 |
4:5 |
100.00 |
5:3 |
100.00 |
5:4 |
100.00 |
4:4 |
100.00 |
5:5 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
1:0 |
6.00 |
2:0 |
16.00 |
2:1 |
17.00 |
3:0 |
100.00 |
3:1 |
100.00 |
3:2 |
100.00 |
4:0 |
100.00 |
4:1 |
100.00 |
0:0 |
4.60 |
1:1 |
6.20 |
2:2 |
35.00 |
0:1 |
4.30 |
0:2 |
8.00 |
0:3 |
26.00 |
1:2 |
12.00 |
1:3 |
46.00 |
2:3 |
100.00 |
3:3 |
100.00 |
0:4 |
100.00 |
1:4 |
100.00 |
2:4 |
100.00 |
4:2 |
100.00 |
0:5 |
100.00 |
1:5 |
100.00 |
2:5 |
100.00 |
3:4 |
100.00 |
5:0 |
100.00 |
5:1 |
100.00 |
5:2 |
100.00 |
4:3 |
100.00 |
3:5 |
100.00 |
4:5 |
100.00 |
5:3 |
100.00 |
5:4 |
100.00 |
4:4 |
100.00 |
5:5 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.83 |
Home/Away |
1.20 |
Draw/Away |
1.20 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
4.30 |
Draw |
2.28 |
Away |
2.31 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.80 |
Under 1.5 |
1.38 |
Over 2.5 |
6.20 |
Under 2.5 |
1.09 |
Over 1 |
1.85 |
Under 1 |
1.85 |
Over 2 |
5.20 |
Under 2 |
1.12 |
Over 0.5 |
1.38 |
Under 0.5 |
2.80 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.78 |
Under 1.5 |
1.92 |
Over 2.5 |
3.20 |
Under 2.5 |
1.30 |
Over 3.5 |
6.10 |
Under 3.5 |
1.09 |
Over 1 |
1.28 |
Under 1 |
3.35 |
Over 2 |
2.50 |
Under 2 |
1.48 |
Over 3 |
5.40 |
Under 3 |
1.12 |
Over 0.5 |
1.14 |
Under 0.5 |
4.90 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Victoria Września = 1.72 (league 1.74),
Pogoń Szczecin II = 1.09 (league 1.46)
|
|
Pogoń Szczecin II |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Victoria Września |
0 |
6.0% |
6.6% |
3.6% |
1.3% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
1 |
10.3% |
11.3% |
6.2% |
2.3% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
2 |
8.9% |
9.7% |
5.3% |
1.9% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
3 |
5.1% |
5.6% |
3.0% |
1.1% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
4 |
2.2% |
2.4% |
1.3% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
5 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 51.2% ·
Draw 23.8% ·
Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1