Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Miejski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 1.74) 1.23 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 15.0% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznań II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flota Świnoujście 0 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack75%100%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flota Świnoujście Lech Poznań II
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%60%67%50%60%56%
Draws25%20%22%0%20%11%
Loses0%20%11%50%20%33%

Form: Flota Świnoujście: DDWWWWLWW • Lech Poznań II: WLLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Flota Świnoujście Lech Poznań II
HATHAT
GF total9817101828
GF avg2.31.61.92.53.63.1
GA total25761117
GA avg0.51.00.81.52.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%89%89%
1.567%11%89%56%
2.522%11%67%33%
3.511%0%44%11%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
Wins43
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-01-4
Biggest losses3-20-24-3
Goals For4264
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieLech Poznań II
Form55%45%
Att41%59%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%100%
Goals27%73%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lech Poznań II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away2.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flota Świnoujście = 2.90 (league 1.74), Lech Poznań II = 1.23 (league 1.46)

Lech Poznań II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flota Świnoujście 0 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1