Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 17:00 •
Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.74)
0.89 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.4% | 26.9% | 23.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Noteć Czarnków | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Polonia Środa | 0 | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 94% | 44% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 57% | 69% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Draws | 0% | 43% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 8% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
Form: Polonia Środa: WDWWDLDWWWWWW • Noteć Czarnków: DWLLDLLWLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 62% | 62% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 38% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 8% | 8% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Polonia Środa | Noteć Czarnków |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Polonia Środa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Polonia Środa = 1.43 (league 1.74), Noteć Czarnków = 0.89 (league 1.46)
| Noteć Czarnków | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Polonia Środa | 0 | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 23.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1