Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Amica Wronki Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.98 (league 1.69) 1.10 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 8.2% 5.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
4 - 1
7.2%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tłuchowia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznań II 0 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech Poznań IITłuchowia
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack100%55%
Defense73%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznań II Tłuchowia
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%71%69%14%33%23%
Draws0%14%8%14%17%15%
Loses33%14%23%71%50%62%

Form: Lech Poznań II: WLLWWWDLWWWWW • Tłuchowia: LLLDDLWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Lech Poznań II Tłuchowia
HATHAT
GF total1622384711
GF avg2.73.12.90.61.20.8
GA total81220121527
GA avg1.31.71.51.72.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech Poznań IITłuchowia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%54%69%
1.592%38%23%62%
2.562%23%8%38%
3.531%8%0%23%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech Poznań IITłuchowia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score101336

Penalties

MetricLech Poznań IITłuchowia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLech Poznań IITłuchowia
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-41-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-31-46-2
Goals For6413
Goals Against3446

Model comparison

MetricLech Poznań IITłuchowia
Form71%29%
Att73%27%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total76.8%23.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lech Poznań II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznań II = 3.98 (league 1.69), Tłuchowia = 1.10 (league 1.41)

Tłuchowia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznań II 0 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1