Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 11:00 • Stadion Miejski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.68) 0.69 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 20.4% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tłuchowia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flota Świnoujście 0 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flota Świnoujście Tłuchowia
HATHAT
Played89179918
Wins50%44%47%11%33%22%
Draws25%22%24%22%11%17%
Loses25%33%29%67%56%61%

Form: Flota Świnoujście: DDWWWWLWWLWWLLDLD • Tłuchowia: LLLDDLWLLWLWLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Flota Świnoujście Tłuchowia
HATHAT
GF total12132541115
GF avg1.51.41.50.41.20.8
GA total61117142034
GA avg0.81.21.01.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%56%67%
1.541%24%22%61%
2.518%12%6%33%
3.56%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score213538

Penalties

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
Wins41
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-21-46-2
Goals For4313
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricFlota ŚwinoujścieTłuchowia
Form33%67%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Flota Świnoujście or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flota Świnoujście = 1.96 (league 1.68), Tłuchowia = 0.69 (league 1.40)

Tłuchowia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flota Świnoujście 0 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1