Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadion Noteć Czarnków
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.69)
1.03 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.1% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tłuchowia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noteć Czarnków | 0 | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 58% | 33% |
| Defense | 42% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 9 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 36% | 44% | 40% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Draws | 18% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Loses | 45% | 33% | 40% | 70% | 60% | 65% |
Form: Noteć Czarnków: DWLLDLLWLDDWLWWLWWLW • Tłuchowia: LLLDDLWLLWLWLLLLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 70% | 55% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 35% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 5% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-6 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.6% | 40.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Noteć Czarnków or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Noteć Czarnków = 1.74 (league 1.69), Tłuchowia = 1.03 (league 1.39)
| Tłuchowia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noteć Czarnków | 0 | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 22.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1