Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 •
Stadion Rapid
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.63)
1.60 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.1% | 25.0% | 54.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lechia Zielona Góra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Katowice | 0 | 8.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 88% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 80% | 60% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: Sparta Katowice: DWDWWWDWWL • Lechia Zielona Góra: DWWWWDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sparta Katowice | Lechia Zielona Góra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lechia Zielona Góra
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sparta Katowice = 0.86 (league 1.63), Lechia Zielona Góra = 1.60 (league 1.40)
| Lechia Zielona Góra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sparta Katowice | 0 | 8.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 54.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1