Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion KS Polonia Nysa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.61) 0.33 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.5% 12.1% 3.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Warta Gorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Nysa 0 6.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack100%71%
Defense21%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polonia Nysa Warta Gorzów
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%17%42%50%17%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%50%25%17%50%33%

Form: Polonia Nysa: WLWLDDWWLDWD • Warta Gorzów: DLWLDLDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Polonia Nysa Warta Gorzów
HATHAT
GF total1211239918
GF avg2.01.81.91.51.51.5
GA total2141661218
GA avg0.32.31.31.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%83%92%
1.550%42%42%50%
2.525%8%17%8%
3.525%8%8%0%
4.58%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
HATHAT
Clean sheets404101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
Wins22
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-44-11-3
Biggest losses5-20-23-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against1523

Model comparison

MetricPolonia NysaWarta Gorzów
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Polonia Nysa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ William Hill
Away3.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.47 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polonia Nysa = 2.48 (league 1.61), Warta Gorzów = 0.33 (league 1.37)

Warta Gorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Nysa 0 6.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1