Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion MOSiR
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.68) 0.39 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.4% 8.5% 2.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
15.1%
4 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Polonia Nysa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Zielona Góra 0 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack80%67%
Defense93%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Zielona Góra Polonia Nysa
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%71%62%57%17%38%
Draws50%14%31%43%33%38%
Loses0%14%8%0%50%23%

Form: Lechia Zielona Góra: DWWWWDWLWDDWW • Polonia Nysa: WLWLDDWWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Lechia Zielona Góra Polonia Nysa
HATHAT
GF total131831131124
GF avg2.22.62.41.91.81.8
GA total25731417
GA avg0.30.70.50.42.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%46%85%69%
1.554%8%46%38%
2.546%0%23%8%
3.531%0%23%8%
4.523%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
HATHAT
Clean sheets437404
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
Wins42
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-55-12-4
Biggest losses2-15-2
Goals For5554
Goals Against1215

Model comparison

MetricLechia Zielona GóraPolonia Nysa
Form65%35%
Att55%45%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lechia Zielona Góra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Superbet
Draw5.00 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Zielona Góra = 3.02 (league 1.68), Polonia Nysa = 0.39 (league 1.40)

Polonia Nysa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Zielona Góra 0 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1