Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion MKS Stal Jasień
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.68) 2.63 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.3% 11.0% 80.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 3
15.3%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Jasień 0 5.1% 13.3% 17.4% 15.3% 10.0% 5.3%
1 1.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal JasieńSparta Katowice
Played55
Form0%87%
Attack25%75%
Defense0%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Jasień Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
Played87159716
Wins13%14%13%44%86%63%
Draws13%0%7%56%0%31%
Loses75%86%80%0%14%6%

Form: Stal Jasień: LLLWLLWLDLLLLLL • Sparta Katowice: DWDWWWDWWLDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Stal Jasień Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
GF total81018131124
GF avg1.01.41.21.41.61.5
GA total1828468412
GA avg2.34.03.10.90.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal JasieńSparta Katowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%81%50%
1.540%87%50%19%
2.57%47%19%6%
3.50%27%0%0%
4.50%27%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal JasieńSparta Katowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets000448
Failed to score314213

Penalties

MetricStal JasieńSparta Katowice
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricStal JasieńSparta Katowice
Wins14
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-37-21-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3732

Model comparison

MetricStal JasieńSparta Katowice
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total22.0%78.0%

Advice: Winner : Sparta Katowice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Jasień = 0.36 (league 1.68), Sparta Katowice = 2.63 (league 1.40)

Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Jasień 0 5.1% 13.3% 17.4% 15.3% 10.0% 5.3%
1 1.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.3% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 80.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1