Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion MOSiR
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.68) 0.46 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 41.9% 20.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.0%
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Górnik Polkowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Zielona Góra 0 31.0% 14.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Zielona Góra Górnik Polkowice
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%78%63%75%63%69%
Draws57%11%31%25%13%19%
Loses0%11%6%0%25%13%

Form: Lechia Zielona Góra: DWWWWDWLWDDWWDWW • Górnik Polkowice: WWWWLWWDWDDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Lechia Zielona Góra Górnik Polkowice
HATHAT
GF total142741181331
GF avg2.03.02.62.31.61.9
GA total3699514
GA avg0.40.70.61.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%81%56%
1.556%6%63%31%
2.544%0%31%0%
3.531%0%13%0%
4.525%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets448257
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
Wins44
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-74-10-5
Biggest losses2-12-0
Goals For5745
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricLechia Zielona GóraGórnik Polkowice
Form52%48%
Att61%39%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total49.6%50.4%

Advice: Double chance : Lechia Zielona Góra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away3.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Zielona Góra = 0.72 (league 1.68), Górnik Polkowice = 0.46 (league 1.40)

Górnik Polkowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Zielona Góra 0 31.0% 14.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 20.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1