Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Stadion Rapid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.68) 0.77 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 26.1% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Warta Gorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Katowice 0 10.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack41%27%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Katowice Warta Gorzów
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins44%78%61%50%22%35%
Draws56%0%28%25%33%29%
Loses0%22%11%25%44%35%

Form: Sparta Katowice: DWDWWWDWWLDWWWWDWL • Warta Gorzów: DLWLDLDDWWLWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Sparta Katowice Warta Gorzów
HATHAT
GF total131528131124
GF avg1.41.71.61.61.21.4
GA total8715101626
GA avg0.90.80.81.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%82%88%
1.550%22%35%53%
2.522%6%18%12%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-11-3
Biggest losses2-00-23-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSparta KatowiceWarta Gorzów
Form59%41%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sparta Katowice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.12 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Katowice = 1.50 (league 1.68), Warta Gorzów = 0.77 (league 1.40)

Warta Gorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Katowice 0 10.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1