Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 14:30 • Stadion Górnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.66) 1.23 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 28.3% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Polkowice 0 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack32%53%
Defense58%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Górnik Polkowice Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
Played9101911920
Wins78%60%68%36%78%55%
Draws22%10%16%55%0%30%
Loses0%30%16%9%22%15%

Form: Górnik Polkowice: WWWWLWWDWDDWWWLWLWW • Sparta Katowice: DWDWWWDWWLDWWWWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Górnik Polkowice Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
GF total201535181533
GF avg2.21.51.81.61.71.7
GA total9101914721
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%53%80%60%
1.563%32%55%30%
2.526%5%25%10%
3.511%5%5%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets369448
Failed to score044224

Penalties

MetricGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
Wins44
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-52-01-4
Biggest losses5-03-42-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against2542

Model comparison

MetricGórnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice
Form64%36%
Att38%63%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.0%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sparta Katowice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Górnik Polkowice = 1.06 (league 1.66), Sparta Katowice = 1.23 (league 1.38)

Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Polkowice 0 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 39.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1